CNN/ ORC International Poll: Obama at 70% among Latino voters
Posted by: Richard Chiriboga Posted: 10-03-2012
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Interviews with 601 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on September 25-October 1, 2012. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The total sample refers to respondents who described themselves as Hispanic or Latino in a separate question on ethnicity regardless of their race.
The sample includes 462 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 4.5 percentage points) and 328 interviews among likely voters (plus or minus 5.5 percentage points).
The sample includes 420 interviews among landline respondents and 181 interviews among cell phone respondents.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
________________________________________________________________________________________
BASED ON 601 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS LATINO -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE POINTS.)
BASED ON 328 LIKELY LATINO VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- x.x PERCENTAGE PTS.
BASED ON 462 REGISTERED LATINO VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
1. Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?
Obama/ Romney/ Neither Other No
Biden Ryan (vol.) (vol.) Opinion
Sept. 25-Oct. 1, 2012 75% 21% 4% 1% 1%
Likely Voters
Sept. 25-Oct. 1, 2012 70% 26% 3% 1% *
Registered Voters
Sept. 25-Oct. 1, 2012 73% 22% 3% 1% 1%
BASED ON 601 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS LATINO -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE POINTS.)
2. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in November -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?
Extremely Very Somewhat Not too Not at all No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion
Sept. 25-Oct 1, 2012 24% 25% 24% 14% 13% *
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
Approve Disapprove No opinion
Sept. 25-Oct. 1, 2012 68% 28% 4%
July 16-21, 2010 57% 41% 3%
BASED ON 601 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS LATINO -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE POINTS.)
4. Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?
Sept. 25-Oct. 1 July 16-21
2012 2010
The economy 44% 34%
Immigration policy* 14% 11%
Education 14% 10%
Health care 11% 7%
The federal budget deficit 6% 9%
The situation in Afghanistan** 3% 13%
Terrorism 2% 7%
Energy and environmental policies 2% 2%
Other (vol.) 2% 1%
No opinion * 4%
*QUESTION WORDING FOR JULY 2010: Illegal immigration
**QUESTION WORDING FOR JULY 2010: The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan
4. Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?
5. (IF NOT ECONOMY OR IMMIGRATION POLICY) And if you had to choose, would you say that the economy or immigration policy is more important to the country today?
QUESTIONS 4 AND 5 COMBINED
Sept. 25-Oct. 1
2012
The economy 74%
Immigration policy 23%
Both (vol.) 2%
No opinion *
BASED ON 601 RESPONDENTS WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS LATINO -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE
POINTS.)
6. Now thinking specifically about the economy, which of the following is the most important economic issue facing the country today? (RANDOM ORDER)
Sept. 25-Oct. 1
2012
Unemployment 50%
The federal budget deficit 19%
The price of gasoline 15%
Mortgage and housing issues 8%
Taxes 4%
The stock market 3%
Other (vol.) 1%
No opinion *
7. Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President. (RANDOM ORDER)
Neither No
Obama Romney (vol.) opinion
The economy 68% 28% 3% 1%
Immigration policy 74% 20% 4% 1%
Education 77% 20% 2% 1%
Health care 74% 21% 4% 2%
The federal budget deficit 61% 31% 4% 4%
Unemployment 69% 25% 4% 2%
Mortgage and housing issues 66% 27% 3% 4%
METHODOLOGY
A dual-frame RDD sample with a split landline frame was employed to achieve a representative sample of all Latino telephone households in the United States. Sample was drawn by MSG from a commercial database of over 4.5 million Latino households identified by Latino surname. This sample was augmented with a landline sample that was stratified into three partitions: High probability Latino households (exchanges with a minimum estimated 50% probability of reaching a Latino household, Medium probability exchanges (exchanges with a minimum estimated 25% probability of reaching a Latino household and Low probability exchanges (all remaining exchanges). No stratification procedure was used for the cell phone sample.
The sample was also divided among four custom geographic “regions” as follows:
ATLANTIC: All states that border the Atlantic Ocean (plus Pennsylvania) from New York to Florida.
LATINO WEST: Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Nevada, Colorado and Utah
CALIFORNIA
REST OF COUNTRY
The data were weighted using demographic targets for gender, age, education and region of the countryderived from the US Census.
Interviews were conducted in Spanish or English as required or requested by the respondent.
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Registered voters
Question 1/1A
Q1. Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between
Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan
as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q1A. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered voters
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama,Biden, lean 73% 72% 74% 76% N/A 73%
Romney,Ryan, lean 22% 23% 21% 21% N/A 22%
Other 1% 1% 1% * N/A 1%
Neither 3% 3% 3% 2% N/A 3%
No opinion 1% 1% * 1% N/A 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama,Biden, lean 73% 85% N/A N/A N/A 78% 62%
Romney,Ryan, lean 22% 12% N/A N/A N/A 18% 35%
Other 1% * N/A N/A N/A * 2%
Neither 3% 2% N/A N/A N/A 3% 1%
No opinion 1% 1% N/A N/A N/A 1% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama,Biden, lean 73% 79% 65% 75% 71%
Romney,Ryan, lean 22% 17% 31% 22% 24%
Other 1% 1% * 1% *
Neither 3% 3% 3% 2% 4%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% * 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama,Biden, lean 73% 96% 63% N/A N/A 76% 55%
Romney,Ryan, lean 22% 3% 26% N/A N/A 19% 42%
Other 1% * 2% N/A N/A * *
Neither 3% * 7% N/A N/A 3% 4%
No opinion 1% * 2% N/A N/A 2% *
Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-8.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama,Biden, lean 73% N/A 75% N/A N/A 77% 70% N/A
Romney,Ryan, lean 22% N/A 20% N/A N/A 20% 23% N/A
Other 1% N/A 2% N/A N/A 1% * N/A
Neither 3% N/A 3% N/A N/A 1% 5% N/A
No opinion 1% N/A 1% N/A N/A 1% 1% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 2
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in November -- extremely
enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Extremely enthusiastic 24% 22% 25% 26% 21% 29%
Very enthusiastic 25% 24% 27% 22% 29% 26%
Somewhat enthusiastic 24% 24% 24% 26% 20% 26%
Not too enthusiastic 14% 16% 11% 13% 14% 11%
Not at all enthusiastic 13% 13% 13% 13% 14% 8%
No opinion * 1% * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Extremely enthusiastic 24% 20% 22% 31% N/A 21% 30%
Very enthusiastic 25% 19% 29% 28% N/A 23% 32%
Somewhat enthusiastic 24% 29% 24% 15% N/A 27% 15%
Not too enthusiastic 14% 15% 14% 14% N/A 14% 12%
Not at all enthusiastic 13% 16% 12% 12% N/A 14% 10%
No opinion * * * * N/A * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Extremely enthusiastic 24% 20% 32% 19% 33%
Very enthusiastic 25% 24% 27% 28% 21%
Somewhat enthusiastic 24% 27% 21% 24% 24%
Not too enthusiastic 14% 15% 9% 13% 13%
Not at all enthusiastic 13% 14% 10% 16% 9%
No opinion * * 1% * 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Extremely enthusiastic 24% 27% 17% N/A 24% 23% 28%
Very enthusiastic 25% 33% 19% N/A 26% 23% 26%
Somewhat enthusiastic 24% 25% 22% N/A 20% 28% 24%
Not too enthusiastic 14% 11% 17% N/A 18% 19% 5%
Not at all enthusiastic 13% 4% 25% N/A 12% 7% 16%
No opinion * * 1% N/A * 1% *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Extremely enthusiastic 24% 29% 24% 17% N/A 25% 22% N/A
Very enthusiastic 25% 28% 28% 22% N/A 25% 28% N/A
Somewhat enthusiastic 24% 23% 28% 22% N/A 27% 19% N/A
Not too enthusiastic 14% 11% 11% 19% N/A 13% 13% N/A
Not at all enthusiastic 13% 9% 9% 19% N/A 10% 16% N/A
No opinion * 1% * * N/A * * N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 3
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Approve 68% 67% 68% 69% 67% 66%
Disapprove 28% 30% 26% 28% 27% 30%
No opinion 4% 3% 6% 4% 6% 4%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Approve 68% 72% 63% 65% N/A 68% 66%
Disapprove 28% 23% 33% 32% N/A 27% 30%
No opinion 4% 5% 4% 3% N/A 5% 4%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Approve 68% 70% 61% 70% 64%
Disapprove 28% 25% 36% 26% 30%
No opinion 4% 6% 3% 4% 5%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Approve 68% 91% 51% N/A 82% 70% 55%
Disapprove 28% 7% 41% N/A 11% 26% 41%
No opinion 4% 2% 8% N/A 6% 4% 4%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Approve 68% 67% 73% 66% N/A 70% 66% N/A
Disapprove 28% 27% 25% 31% N/A 28% 27% N/A
No opinion 4% 6% 2% 3% N/A 2% 7% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 4
Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
The economy 44% 51% 37% 46% 41% 46%
Immigration policy 14% 10% 19% 7% 25% 8%
The situation in Afghanistan 3% 5% 2% 4% 3% 3%
Education 14% 12% 17% 15% 13% 15%
Health care 11% 7% 16% 11% 12% 12%
Terrorism 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3%
The federal budget deficit 6% 9% 4% 9% 3% 9%
Energy & environmental policy 2% 3% 1% 4% * 3%
Other 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%
No opinion * * * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
The economy 44% 43% 45% 41% N/A 44% 46%
Immigration policy 14% 15% 17% 12% N/A 16% 9%
The situation in Afghanistan 3% 3% 3% 5% N/A 3% 4%
Education 14% 17% 15% 7% N/A 16% 8%
Health care 11% 8% 12% 17% N/A 10% 16%
Terrorism 2% 1% 1% 7% N/A 1% 6%
The federal budget deficit 6% 7% 6% 6% N/A 7% 5%
Energy & environmental policy 2% 5% * 1% N/A 3% 1%
Other 2% 1% 1% 3% N/A 1% 4%
No opinion * * * * N/A * 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 4
Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?
Base = Total Sample
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
The economy 44% 45% 45% 42% 49%
Immigration policy 14% 17% 8% 18% 5%
The situation in Afghanistan 3% 4% 3% 3% 5%
Education 14% 9% 20% 14% 15%
Health care 11% 13% 7% 13% 10%
Terrorism 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
The federal budget deficit 6% 5% 9% 6% 8%
Energy & environmental policy 2% 2% 3% 1% 4%
Other 2% 1% 2% 1% 2%
No opinion * * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
The economy 44% 46% 42% N/A 47% 45% 41%
Immigration policy 14% 9% 19% N/A 13% 11% 17%
The situation in Afghanistan 3% 1% 7% N/A 2% 3% 6%
Education 14% 18% 13% N/A 18% 18% 8%
Health care 11% 15% 10% N/A 8% 11% 15%
Terrorism 2% 2% 1% N/A 2% 1% 3%
The federal budget deficit 6% 6% 6% N/A 6% 7% 7%
Energy & environmental policy 2% 3% 1% N/A 4% 3% *
Other 2% * 1% N/A * 1% 3%
No opinion * * * N/A * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
The economy 44% 46% 39% 47% N/A 47% 43% N/A
Immigration policy 14% 20% 7% 12% N/A 10% 18% N/A
The situation in Afghanistan 3% 2% 4% 6% N/A 3% 3% N/A
Education 14% 12% 14% 17% N/A 13% 16% N/A
Health care 11% 8% 20% 9% N/A 12% 12% N/A
Terrorism 2% 2% 3% 1% N/A 1% 2% N/A
The federal budget deficit 6% 6% 7% 6% N/A 8% 4% N/A
Energy & environmental policy 2% 2% 4% 1% N/A 3% 1% N/A
Other 2% 1% 2% 1% N/A 3% * N/A
No opinion * * * * N/A * * N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 4/5 - Economy vs. Immigration Summary Table
Q4. Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?
Q5. And if you had to choose, would you say that the economy or immigration policy
is more important to the country today?
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
The economy 74% 83% 66% 82% 63% 80%
Immigration policy 23% 16% 31% 16% 35% 17%
Both equally 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
No opinion * * * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
The economy 74% 74% 72% 76% N/A 73% 78%
Immigration policy 23% 23% 25% 24% N/A 24% 20%
Both equally 2% 2% 2% 1% N/A 2% 2%
No opinion * * * * N/A * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
The economy 74% 75% 79% 69% 87%
Immigration policy 23% 24% 18% 29% 10%
Both equally 2% 2% 3% 2% 3%
No opinion * * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
The economy 74% 80% 71% N/A 74% 81% 69%
Immigration policy 23% 17% 28% N/A 23% 18% 28%
Both equally 2% 3% 2% N/A 3% 1% 3%
No opinion * * * N/A * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
The economy 74% 70% 84% 73% N/A 80% 68% N/A
Immigration policy 23% 29% 15% 21% N/A 18% 30% N/A
Both equally 2% 1% 1% 5% N/A 3% 2% N/A
No opinion * * * * N/A * * N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 6
Now thinking specifically about the economy, which of the following is the most important economic
issue facing the country today?
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Unemployment 50% 49% 51% 47% 55% 47%
The price of gasoline 15% 16% 15% 13% 19% 13%
Taxes 4% 5% 2% 4% 3% 3%
The stock market 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% 4%
The federal budget deficit 19% 19% 19% 22% 15% 22%
Mortgage and housing issues 8% 8% 8% 9% 5% 9%
Other 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2%
No opinion * * * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Unemployment 50% 51% 42% 62% N/A 47% 58%
The price of gasoline 15% 15% 20% 10% N/A 17% 11%
Taxes 4% 4% 4% 2% N/A 4% 3%
The stock market 3% 3% 4% * N/A 3% 2%
The federal budget deficit 19% 20% 19% 18% N/A 19% 17%
Mortgage and housing issues 8% 8% 9% 7% N/A 8% 7%
Other 1% * 2% 2% N/A 1% 2%
No opinion * * * * N/A * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Unemployment 50% 52% 50% 48% 55%
The price of gasoline 15% 19% 6% 20% 7%
Taxes 4% 3% 5% 4% 3%
The stock market 3% 2% 3% 2% 2%
The federal budget deficit 19% 16% 26% 16% 24%
Mortgage and housing issues 8% 7% 9% 8% 7%
Other 1% 1% 2% 1% 2%
No opinion * * * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Unemployment 50% 50% 51% N/A 53% 52% 46%
The price of gasoline 15% 20% 11% N/A 16% 13% 16%
Taxes 4% 3% 5% N/A 4% 5% 3%
The stock market 3% 5% 1% N/A 4% 2% 2%
The federal budget deficit 19% 15% 19% N/A 12% 21% 24%
Mortgage and housing issues 8% 6% 11% N/A 9% 6% 7%
Other 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% 2% *
No opinion * * * N/A * * *
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Unemployment 50% 60% 37% 57% N/A 47% 55% N/A
The price of gasoline 15% 11% 22% 10% N/A 14% 15% N/A
Taxes 4% 2% 5% 5% N/A 5% 4% N/A
The stock market 3% 2% 2% 4% N/A 2% 3% N/A
The federal budget deficit 19% 15% 23% 19% N/A 19% 16% N/A
Mortgage and housing issues 8% 10% 10% 5% N/A 11% 6% N/A
Other 1% * 2% * N/A 1% 1% N/A
No opinion * * * * N/A * * N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
A. The economy
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 68% 66% 70% 69% 65% 68%
Romney 28% 28% 27% 27% 29% 29%
Neither 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 68% 70% 69% 60% N/A 69% 64%
Romney 28% 26% 27% 37% N/A 26% 32%
Neither 3% 4% 3% 2% N/A 3% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 68% 72% 58% 69% 64%
Romney 28% 23% 38% 26% 31%
Neither 3% 4% 3% 4% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 68% 89% 57% N/A 83% 67% 58%
Romney 28% 8% 35% N/A 14% 29% 38%
Neither 3% 2% 6% N/A 2% 3% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% N/A 1% 1% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 68% 68% 72% 66% N/A 70% 69% N/A
Romney 28% 30% 22% 30% N/A 23% 30% N/A
Neither 3% 1% 6% 2% N/A 6% * N/A
No opinion 1% 2% 1% 1% N/A 1% 1% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
B. Immigration policy
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 74% 73% 76% 72% 77% 73%
Romney 20% 22% 18% 23% 15% 22%
Neither 4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 4%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 74% 81% 74% 59% N/A 78% 65%
Romney 20% 16% 19% 34% N/A 17% 27%
Neither 4% 2% 7% 4% N/A 4% 5%
No opinion 1% 1% * 3% N/A * 3%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 74% 77% 68% 74% 73%
Romney 20% 17% 27% 20% 22%
Neither 4% 4% 5% 5% 4%
No opinion 1% 1% * 1% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 74% 92% 65% N/A 88% 75% 61%
Romney 20% 4% 27% N/A 9% 20% 31%
Neither 4% 3% 6% N/A 2% 4% 7%
No opinion 1% 1% 2% N/A 1% 1% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 74% 78% 77% 75% N/A 76% 77% N/A
Romney 20% 18% 20% 20% N/A 20% 18% N/A
Neither 4% 2% 3% 4% N/A 4% 3% N/A
No opinion 1% 2% * 1% N/A 1% 1% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
C. Education
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 77% 74% 80% 76% 77% 78%
Romney 20% 22% 18% 21% 19% 20%
Neither 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 77% 82% 77% 65% N/A 80% 69%
Romney 20% 15% 21% 30% N/A 18% 26%
Neither 2% 2% 2% 3% N/A 2% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% * 1% N/A 1% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 77% 81% 65% 77% 76%
Romney 20% 15% 32% 20% 20%
Neither 2% 2% 3% 2% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% * 1% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 77% 93% 69% N/A 94% 75% 63%
Romney 20% 6% 25% N/A 4% 21% 34%
Neither 2% * 5% N/A 2% 2% 3%
No opinion 1% 1% 1% N/A * 2% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 77% 82% 80% 70% N/A 79% 77% N/A
Romney 20% 15% 18% 26% N/A 19% 20% N/A
Neither 2% 1% 2% 2% N/A 1% 2% N/A
No opinion 1% 2% * 2% N/A 1% 1% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7D
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
D. Health care
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 74% 76% 72% 74% 72% 74%
Romney 21% 20% 22% 21% 21% 21%
Neither 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
No opinion 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 74% 78% 72% 67% N/A 75% 70%
Romney 21% 19% 18% 28% N/A 19% 26%
Neither 4% 3% 7% 3% N/A 4% 3%
No opinion 2% 1% 3% 2% N/A 1% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 74% 78% 64% 73% 74%
Romney 21% 16% 31% 21% 21%
Neither 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%
No opinion 2% 2% * 2% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 74% 95% 63% N/A 89% 77% 59%
Romney 21% 3% 26% N/A 9% 18% 33%
Neither 4% 1% 8% N/A 1% 4% 5%
No opinion 2% 1% 3% N/A 1% 1% 3%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 74% 75% 75% 74% N/A 80% 73% N/A
Romney 21% 20% 22% 20% N/A 17% 22% N/A
Neither 4% 3% 3% 3% N/A 3% 3% N/A
No opinion 2% 1% * 3% N/A 1% 2% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7E
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
E. The federal budget deficit
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 61% 57% 66% 63% 56% 60%
Romney 31% 36% 25% 33% 30% 33%
Neither 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3%
No opinion 4% 3% 5% 1% 9% 3%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 61% 63% 63% 52% N/A 63% 56%
Romney 31% 30% 30% 37% N/A 30% 34%
Neither 4% 5% 2% 5% N/A 3% 5%
No opinion 4% 3% 5% 6% N/A 4% 6%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 61% 65% 50% 63% 57%
Romney 31% 25% 46% 29% 36%
Neither 4% 4% 3% 3% 6%
No opinion 4% 5% 1% 6% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 61% 82% 51% N/A 75% 60% 51%
Romney 31% 14% 37% N/A 20% 32% 40%
Neither 4% 1% 8% N/A 3% 5% 1%
No opinion 4% 3% 5% N/A 2% 3% 8%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 61% 64% 69% 53% N/A 65% 61% N/A
Romney 31% 26% 25% 36% N/A 28% 30% N/A
Neither 4% 2% 6% 4% N/A 4% 3% N/A
No opinion 4% 7% * 7% N/A 3% 6% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7F
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
F. Unemployment
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 69% 68% 70% 70% 66% 70%
Romney 25% 26% 25% 26% 25% 24%
Neither 4% 5% 3% 4% 5% 3%
No opinion 2% 1% 3% 1% 4% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 69% 75% 66% 59% N/A 71% 62%
Romney 25% 19% 26% 39% N/A 22% 34%
Neither 4% 5% 5% 2% N/A 5% 2%
No opinion 2% 2% 3% * N/A 2% 1%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 69% 71% 62% 69% 68%
Romney 25% 21% 34% 24% 28%
Neither 4% 5% 2% 5% 2%
No opinion 2% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 69% 91% 56% N/A 87% 70% 56%
Romney 25% 6% 33% N/A 9% 26% 37%
Neither 4% 2% 8% N/A 4% 2% 4%
No opinion 2% 1% 3% N/A 1% 2% 3%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 69% 70% 72% 64% N/A 70% 69% N/A
Romney 25% 26% 21% 31% N/A 23% 27% N/A
Neither 4% 1% 7% 1% N/A 6% 1% N/A
No opinion 2% 2% * 5% N/A 1% 3% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to October 1, 2012
Question 7G
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama
or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
G. Mortgage and housing issues
Base = Total Sample
Not
Born Born Reg.
Total Men Women In U.S In U.S Voters
----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ------
Obama 66% 66% 67% 69% 60% 67%
Romney 27% 28% 26% 26% 29% 27%
Neither 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
No opinion 4% 3% 5% 2% 8% 3%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5
18- 35- 50- Under 50 and
Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Obama 66% 72% 68% 52% N/A 70% 56%
Romney 27% 23% 26% 38% N/A 24% 33%
Neither 3% 3% 3% 3% N/A 3% 3%
No opinion 4% 2% 3% 6% N/A 2% 8%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5
Under $50K No Attended
Total $50K or more College College
----- ----- ------- ------- --------
Obama 66% 69% 59% 66% 66%
Romney 27% 23% 37% 26% 29%
Neither 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
No opinion 4% 5% 2% 5% 2%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-6.0
Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser-
Total crat endent lican eral erate vative
----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- -------
Obama 66% 87% 55% N/A 82% 66% 56%
Romney 27% 9% 33% N/A 12% 27% 39%
Neither 3% 1% 7% N/A 2% 2% 2%
No opinion 4% 4% 5% N/A 4% 5% 3%
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0
Rest
At- Latino Calif of Sub-
Total lantic West ornia Cntry Urban urban Rural
----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Obama 66% 68% 67% 61% N/A 64% 67% N/A
Romney 27% 25% 25% 32% N/A 28% 27% N/A
Neither 3% 2% 6% 2% N/A 4% 2% N/A
No opinion 4% 6% 2% 6% N/A 4% 4% N/A
Sampling Error +/-4.0 +/-8.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-6.0 +/-6.0
* percentage less than 1%
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